Armed conflict and political violenceHigh
Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
Country risk assessment ยท Oceania
Australia political and security risk assessment
Australia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 26 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
26of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Oceania
Australia
What is the political and security risk in Australia right now?
Australia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 26 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Steady at Guarded, with no standing risk flags.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 1.4% in 2025 with inflation at 2.9%.
What are the main risks of operating in Australia?
Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
What has changed recently in Australia?
Australia moved unchanged this week and rose 5 points over the last 12 weeks, from 21 to 26.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess there is a realistic possibility that Australia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 2 points from the Low band.
40 to 55%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Ores and metals make up 35% of goods exports (2025 data), so mining regions and export corridors are the exposure to watch.
Trade equals 46% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$1.80 trillionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth1.4%Latest data, 2025
Inflation2.9%Latest data, 2025
Trade46% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports27% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals35% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population27.6 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Australia threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Australia for business?
Australia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 26 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Australia?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (high); protest and civil unrest (elevated). Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
What is the outlook for Australia?
We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that Australia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 2 points from the Low band.
How often is the Australia risk assessment updated?
The Australia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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