Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
Country risk assessment ยท Oceania
New Caledonia political and security risk assessment
New Caledonia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 15 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
15of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Oceania
New Caledonia
What is the political and security risk in New Caledonia right now?
New Caledonia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 15 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
What are the main risks of operating in New Caledonia?
What has changed recently in New Caledonia?
New Caledonia moved unchanged this week and rose 5 points over the last 12 weeks, from 10 to 15.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that New Caledonia stays in the Low band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 40% of GDP (2024 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$8.5 billionLatest data, 2024
Real GDP growth-13.5%Latest data, 2024
Trade40% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Population295 thousandLatest data, 2025
How has the New Caledonia threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in New Caledonia for business?
New Caledonia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 15 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in New Caledonia?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What is the outlook for New Caledonia?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that New Caledonia stays in the Low band through the end of December.
How often is the New Caledonia risk assessment updated?
The New Caledonia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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