Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded
Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
Country risk assessment ยท Oceania
Vanuatu political and security risk assessment
Vanuatu carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 9 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
9of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Oceania
Vanuatu
What is the political and security risk in Vanuatu right now?
Vanuatu carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 9 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 3.1% in 2025 with inflation at 0.7%.
What are the main risks of operating in Vanuatu?
Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
What has changed recently in Vanuatu?
Vanuatu moved unchanged this week and fell 4 points over the last 12 weeks, from 13 to 9.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that Vanuatu stays in the Low band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 73% of GDP (2024 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$1.4 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth3.1%Latest data, 2025
Inflation0.7%Latest data, 2025
Trade73% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Population335 thousandLatest data, 2025
How has the Vanuatu threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Vanuatu for business?
Vanuatu carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 9 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Vanuatu?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
What is the outlook for Vanuatu?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Vanuatu stays in the Low band through the end of December.
How often is the Vanuatu risk assessment updated?
The Vanuatu threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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