Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Algeria political and security risk assessment

Algeria carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 38 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

38of 100
Guarded

Band 2 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Africa

Algeria

What is the political and security risk in Algeria right now?

Algeria carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 38 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 3.8% in 2025 with inflation at 1.4%.

What are the main risks of operating in Algeria?

Armed conflict and political violenceElevated

Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.

Protest and civil unrestElevated

Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

Staff movement and duty of careGuarded

Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

What has changed recently in Algeria?

Algeria moved unchanged this week and rose 9 points over the last 12 weeks, from 29 to 38.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess there is a realistic possibility that Algeria stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 2 points from the Elevated band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Energy

Fuels make up 93% of goods exports (2024 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.

Supply chain

Trade equals 39% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.

Operations

Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.

Key facts

GDPUS$287.0 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth3.8%Latest data, 2025
Inflation1.4%Latest data, 2025
Trade39% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports93% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population47.4 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Algeria threat score moved?

1525354555Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 29Aug 16: 30Aug 23: 44Aug 30: 43Sep 6: 43Sep 13: 42Sep 20: 41Sep 27: 40Oct 4: 39Oct 11: 39Oct 18: 38Oct 25: 3838

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Algeria for business?

Algeria carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 38 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Algeria?

The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (elevated); protest and civil unrest (elevated); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.

What is the outlook for Algeria?

We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that Algeria stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 2 points from the Elevated band.

How often is the Algeria risk assessment updated?

The Algeria threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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