Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Niger political and security risk assessment

Niger carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 73 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

73of 100
Severe

Band 5 of 5

▼ Down 1 on last week

Africa

Niger

What is the political and security risk in Niger right now?

Niger carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 73 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings, sustained lethal conflict and heavy reporting of armed violence.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 7% in 2025 with inflation at -4.5%.

What are the main risks of operating in Niger?

Staff movement and duty of careSevere

Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.

Armed conflict and political violenceHigh

Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.

Protest and civil unrestElevated

Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

What has changed recently in Niger?

Niger moved down 1 this week and rose 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 72 to 73.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is likely that Niger stays in the Severe band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the High band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Energy

Fuels make up 88% of goods exports (2024 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.

Supply chain

Trade equals 34% of GDP (2025 data). Map tier one and tier two suppliers here and hold buffer stock for critical inputs.

Operations

Only essential operations with specialist security support are advisable.

Key facts

GDPUS$21.6 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation-4.5%Latest data, 2025
Trade34% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports88% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population27.9 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Niger threat score moved?

60657075808590Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 72Aug 16: 71Aug 23: 74Aug 30: 76Sep 6: 76Sep 13: 74Sep 20: 74Sep 27: 74Oct 4: 74Oct 11: 75Oct 18: 74Oct 25: 7373

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Niger for business?

Niger carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 73 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Niger?

The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (severe); armed conflict and political violence (high); protest and civil unrest (elevated). Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.

What is the outlook for Niger?

We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Niger stays in the Severe band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the High band.

How often is the Niger risk assessment updated?

The Niger threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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