Armed conflict and political violenceHigh
Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
Country risk assessment ยท Europe
Bosnia and Herz. political and security risk assessment
Bosnia and Herz. carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
35of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Europe
Bosnia and Herz.
What is the political and security risk in Bosnia and Herz. right now?
Bosnia and Herz. carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.1% in 2025 with inflation at 4%.
What are the main risks of operating in Bosnia and Herz.?
Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What has changed recently in Bosnia and Herz.?
Bosnia and Herz. moved unchanged this week and rose 8 points over the last 12 weeks, from 27 to 35.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Bosnia and Herz. stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 95% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$32.6 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.1%Latest data, 2025
Inflation4%Latest data, 2025
Trade95% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population3.1 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Bosnia and Herz. threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Bosnia and Herz. for business?
Bosnia and Herz. carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Bosnia and Herz.?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (high); protest and civil unrest (guarded); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
What is the outlook for Bosnia and Herz.?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Bosnia and Herz. stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
How often is the Bosnia and Herz. risk assessment updated?
The Bosnia and Herz. threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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