Staff movement and duty of careHigh
Foreign governments advise against non essential travel to the country or large parts of it.
Country risk assessment ยท Africa
Burundi political and security risk assessment
Burundi carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
35of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Africa
Burundi
What is the political and security risk in Burundi right now?
Burundi carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 4.2% in 2025 with inflation at 34.1%.
What are the main risks of operating in Burundi?
Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded
Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
What has changed recently in Burundi?
Burundi moved unchanged this week and rose 4 points over the last 12 weeks, from 31 to 35.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Burundi stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Food makes up 46% of goods exports (2023 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$3.4 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth4.2%Latest data, 2025
Inflation34.1%Latest data, 2025
Food exports46% of goods exportsLatest data, 2023
Population14.4 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Burundi threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Burundi for business?
Burundi carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Burundi?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (high); armed conflict and political violence (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Foreign governments advise against non essential travel to the country or large parts of it.
What is the outlook for Burundi?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Burundi stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
How often is the Burundi risk assessment updated?
The Burundi threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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