Country risk assessment · Africa

Côte d'Ivoire political and security risk assessment

Côte d'Ivoire carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

28of 100
Guarded

Band 2 of 5

▼ Down 1 on last week

Africa

Côte d'Ivoire

What is the political and security risk in Côte d'Ivoire right now?

Côte d'Ivoire carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 6.5% in 2025 with inflation at 0.1%.

What are the main risks of operating in Côte d'Ivoire?

Staff movement and duty of careGuarded

Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What has changed recently in Côte d'Ivoire?

Côte d'Ivoire moved down 1 this week and fell 3 points over the last 12 weeks, from 31 to 28.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is likely that Côte d'Ivoire stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Commodities

Food makes up 55% of goods exports (2025 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.

Supply chain

Trade equals 55% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.

Operations

Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.

Key facts

GDPUS$99.8 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth6.5%Latest data, 2025
Inflation0.1%Latest data, 2025
Trade55% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Food exports55% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population32.7 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Côte d'Ivoire threat score moved?

15202530354045Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 31Aug 16: 32Aug 23: 32Aug 30: 32Sep 6: 31Sep 13: 30Sep 20: 30Sep 27: 30Oct 4: 30Oct 11: 29Oct 18: 29Oct 25: 2828

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Côte d'Ivoire for business?

Côte d'Ivoire carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Côte d'Ivoire?

The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

What is the outlook for Côte d'Ivoire?

We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Côte d'Ivoire stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.

How often is the Côte d'Ivoire risk assessment updated?

The Côte d'Ivoire threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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