Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Chad political and security risk assessment

Chad carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 54 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

54of 100
Elevated

Band 3 of 5

▼ Down 1 on last week

Africa

Chad

What is the political and security risk in Chad right now?

Chad carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 54 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 5.6% in 2025 with inflation at -3.9%.

What are the main risks of operating in Chad?

Staff movement and duty of careSevere

Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.

Armed conflict and political violenceElevated

Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What has changed recently in Chad?

Chad moved down 1 this week and rose 6 points over the last 12 weeks, from 48 to 54.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess there is a realistic possibility that Chad stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 1 point from the High band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Supply chain

Trade equals 46% of GDP (2025 data). Map tier one and tier two suppliers here and hold buffer stock for critical inputs.

Operations

Operations continue but need active security planning in affected areas.

Key facts

GDPUS$21.5 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth5.6%Latest data, 2025
Inflation-3.9%Latest data, 2025
Trade46% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population21.0 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Chad threat score moved?

35455565Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 48Aug 16: 50Aug 23: 51Aug 30: 52Sep 6: 53Sep 13: 54Sep 20: 56Sep 27: 56Oct 4: 56Oct 11: 55Oct 18: 55Oct 25: 5454

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Chad for business?

Chad carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 54 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Chad?

The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (severe); armed conflict and political violence (elevated); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.

What is the outlook for Chad?

We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that Chad stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 1 point from the High band.

How often is the Chad risk assessment updated?

The Chad threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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