Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
Country risk assessment ยท Europe
Croatia political and security risk assessment
Croatia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
20of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Europe
Croatia
What is the political and security risk in Croatia right now?
Croatia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 3.4% in 2025 with inflation at 3.7%.
What are the main risks of operating in Croatia?
Armed conflict and political violenceElevated
Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
What has changed recently in Croatia?
Croatia moved unchanged this week and rose 2 points over the last 12 weeks, from 18 to 20.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Croatia stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Guarded band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 101% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$105.1 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth3.4%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.7%Latest data, 2025
Trade101% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports12% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population3.9 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Croatia threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Croatia for business?
Croatia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Croatia?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (elevated); armed conflict and political violence (elevated). Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
What is the outlook for Croatia?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Croatia stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Guarded band.
How often is the Croatia risk assessment updated?
The Croatia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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