Country risk assessment ยท Middle East

Cyprus political and security risk assessment

Cyprus carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

14of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▲ Up 1 on last week

Middle East

Cyprus

What is the political and security risk in Cyprus right now?

Cyprus carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Little changed at Low, with no standing risk flags.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 3.8% in 2025 with inflation at 0.1%.

What are the main risks of operating in Cyprus?

Protest and civil unrestElevated

Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What has changed recently in Cyprus?

Cyprus moved up 1 this week and was flat over the last 12 weeks, from 14 to 14.

  • Protest and riot reporting up week on week

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Cyprus stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Energy

Fuels make up 63% of goods exports (2025 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.

Supply chain

Trade equals 189% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$41.2 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth3.8%Latest data, 2025
Inflation0.1%Latest data, 2025
Trade189% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports63% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population1.4 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Cyprus threat score moved?

0510152025Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 14Aug 16: 13Aug 23: 14Aug 30: 13Sep 6: 14Sep 13: 13Sep 20: 13Sep 27: 12Oct 4: 13Oct 11: 13Oct 18: 13Oct 25: 1414

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Cyprus for business?

Cyprus carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Cyprus?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (elevated); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

What is the outlook for Cyprus?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Cyprus stays in the Low band through the end of December.

How often is the Cyprus risk assessment updated?

The Cyprus threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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