Staff movement and duty of careSevere
Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.
Country risk assessment ยท Middle East
Syria political and security risk assessment
Syria carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 75 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
75of 100
Severe
Band 5 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Middle East
Syria
What is the political and security risk in Syria right now?
Syria carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 75 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings, sustained lethal conflict and heavy reporting of armed violence.
What are the main risks of operating in Syria?
Armed conflict and political violenceSevere
Sustained lethal conflict or armed violence is being reported.
Protest and civil unrestHigh
Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
What has changed recently in Syria?
Syria moved unchanged this week and fell 3 points over the last 12 weeks, from 78 to 75.
- Protest and riot reporting down week on week
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Syria stays in the Severe band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the High band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 35% of GDP (2022 data). Map tier one and tier two suppliers here and hold buffer stock for critical inputs.
Only essential operations with specialist security support are advisable.
Key facts
GDPUS$23.7 billionLatest data, 2022
Real GDP growth-0.2%Latest data, 2022
Trade35% of GDPLatest data, 2022
Population25.6 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Syria threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Syria for business?
Syria carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 75 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Syria?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (severe); armed conflict and political violence (severe); protest and civil unrest (high). Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.
What is the outlook for Syria?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Syria stays in the Severe band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the High band.
How often is the Syria risk assessment updated?
The Syria threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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