Shipping and tradeElevated
Canal revenue reached 4.05 billion US dollars in the first nine months of 2026, up 35% year on year.
Country risk assessment ยท Africa
Egypt political and security risk assessment
Egypt sits in the Guarded band. Suez Canal revenue is recovering as the Hormuz crisis reroutes ships, but remains well below pre crisis levels. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
34of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Africa
Egypt
What is the political and security risk in Egypt right now?
Egypt sits in the Guarded band. Suez Canal revenue is recovering as the Hormuz crisis reroutes ships, but remains well below pre crisis levels.
Houthi threats around Bab el-Mandeb still deter some Red Sea traffic.
What are the main risks of operating in Egypt?
Regional conflictElevated
Instability in Gaza, Sudan and the Red Sea surrounds Egypt's borders.
EconomyElevated
Foreign currency earnings depend heavily on canal traffic and tourism.
Chokepoint exposure
Bab el-Mandeb StraitThe Red Sea's southern gate, between Yemen and DjiboutiRead the explainer →What has changed recently in Egypt?
Suez Canal revenue hit a record for the recovery period, with September at 605 million US dollars, the highest month since January 2024.
Bab el-Mandeb tensions continue to test Suez traffic.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Suez transits keep rising over the next 3 months unless Houthi attacks resume at scale.
55 to 70%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Suez routing is viable again for many carriers; check Red Sea war risk terms.
Watch foreign currency availability.
Cairo and canal zone operations are normal.
Key facts
GDPUS$365.3 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth4.4%Latest data, 2025
Inflation14.1%Latest data, 2025
Trade51% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Food exports22% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population118.4 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Egypt threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Egypt for business?
Egypt sits in the Guarded band. Suez Canal revenue is recovering as the Hormuz crisis reroutes ships, but remains well below pre crisis levels.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Egypt?
The main risk drivers are shipping and trade (elevated); regional conflict (elevated); economy (elevated). Canal revenue reached 4.05 billion US dollars in the first nine months of 2026, up 35% year on year.
What is the outlook for Egypt?
We assess it is likely (55 to 70%) that Suez transits keep rising over the next 3 months unless Houthi attacks resume at scale.
Which shipping chokepoints matter for Egypt?
Egypt is exposed to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait. The Red Sea's southern gate, between Yemen and Djibouti.
How often is the Egypt risk assessment updated?
The Egypt threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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