Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Gabon political and security risk assessment

Gabon carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 18 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

18of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Africa

Gabon

What is the political and security risk in Gabon right now?

Gabon carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 18 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.5% in 2025 with inflation at 1.8%.

What are the main risks of operating in Gabon?

Staff movement and duty of careGuarded

Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What has changed recently in Gabon?

Gabon moved unchanged this week and was flat over the last 12 weeks, from 18 to 18.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Gabon stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Energy

Fuels make up 54% of goods exports (2023 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.

Supply chain

Trade equals 85% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$21.4 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.5%Latest data, 2025
Inflation1.8%Latest data, 2025
Trade85% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports54% of goods exportsLatest data, 2023
Ores and metals23% of goods exportsLatest data, 2023
Population2.6 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Gabon threat score moved?

51015202530Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 18Aug 16: 18Aug 23: 17Aug 30: 17Sep 6: 18Sep 13: 18Sep 20: 18Sep 27: 18Oct 4: 18Oct 11: 18Oct 18: 18Oct 25: 1818

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Gabon for business?

Gabon carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 18 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Gabon?

The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

What is the outlook for Gabon?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Gabon stays in the Low band through the end of December.

How often is the Gabon risk assessment updated?

The Gabon threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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