Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
Country risk assessment ยท Africa
Gambia political and security risk assessment
Gambia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 24 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
24of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▲ Up 1 on last week
Africa
Gambia
What is the political and security risk in Gambia right now?
Gambia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 24 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 5.9% in 2025 with inflation at 11.6%.
What are the main risks of operating in Gambia?
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded
Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
What has changed recently in Gambia?
Gambia moved up 1 this week and rose 5 points over the last 12 weeks, from 19 to 24.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess there is a realistic possibility that Gambia stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 1 point from the Guarded band.
40 to 55%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Food makes up 91% of goods exports (2024 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.
Trade equals 62% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$2.6 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth5.9%Latest data, 2025
Inflation11.6%Latest data, 2024
Trade62% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Food exports91% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population2.8 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Gambia threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Gambia for business?
Gambia carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 24 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Gambia?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (elevated); staff movement and duty of care (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
What is the outlook for Gambia?
We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that Gambia stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 1 point from the Guarded band.
How often is the Gambia risk assessment updated?
The Gambia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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