Country risk assessment ยท Middle East

Georgia political and security risk assessment

Georgia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 27 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

27of 100
Guarded

Band 2 of 5

▼ Down 1 on last week

Middle East

Georgia

What is the political and security risk in Georgia right now?

Georgia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 27 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are persistent protest activity.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 7.5% in 2025 with inflation at 3.9%.

What are the main risks of operating in Georgia?

Protest and civil unrestHigh

Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

Armed conflict and political violenceElevated

Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.

Chokepoint exposure

Bosphorus and the Turkish StraitsThe Black Sea's only sea link to the worldRead the explainer →

What has changed recently in Georgia?

Georgia moved down 1 this week and fell 5 points over the last 12 weeks, from 32 to 27.

  • Protest and riot reporting down week on week

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess there is a realistic possibility that Georgia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 3 points from the Low band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Shipping

Trade routes for Georgia are exposed to the Bosphorus and the Turkish Straits, so disruption there feeds straight into freight time and cost.

Commodities

Food makes up 45% of goods exports (2025 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.

Supply chain

Trade equals 101% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.

Key facts

GDPUS$38.1 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth7.5%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.9%Latest data, 2025
Trade101% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals17% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Food exports45% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population3.9 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Georgia threat score moved?

15202530354045Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 32Aug 16: 31Aug 23: 30Aug 30: 30Sep 6: 30Sep 13: 29Sep 20: 28Sep 27: 28Oct 4: 28Oct 11: 28Oct 18: 28Oct 25: 2727

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Georgia for business?

Georgia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 27 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Georgia?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (high); armed conflict and political violence (elevated). Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

What is the outlook for Georgia?

We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that Georgia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 3 points from the Low band.

Which shipping chokepoints matter for Georgia?

Georgia is exposed to the Bosphorus and the Turkish Straits. The Black Sea's only sea link to the world.

How often is the Georgia risk assessment updated?

The Georgia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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