Country risk assessment ยท Europe

Ireland political and security risk assessment

Ireland carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 21 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

21of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Europe

Ireland

What is the political and security risk in Ireland right now?

Ireland carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 21 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.

Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 12.3% in 2025 with inflation at 2.2%.

What are the main risks of operating in Ireland?

Protest and civil unrestHigh

Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

Armed conflict and political violenceElevated

Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.

What has changed recently in Ireland?

Ireland moved unchanged this week and rose 4 points over the last 12 weeks, from 17 to 21.

  • Protest and riot reporting down week on week

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is likely that Ireland stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Guarded band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Supply chain

Trade equals 240% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$721.7 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth12.3%Latest data, 2025
Inflation2.2%Latest data, 2025
Trade240% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population5.5 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Ireland threat score moved?

5101520253035Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 17Aug 16: 18Aug 23: 18Aug 30: 17Sep 6: 17Sep 13: 17Sep 20: 17Sep 27: 18Oct 4: 19Oct 11: 20Oct 18: 21Oct 25: 2121

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Ireland for business?

Ireland carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 21 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Ireland?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (high); armed conflict and political violence (elevated). Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

What is the outlook for Ireland?

We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Ireland stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Guarded band.

How often is the Ireland risk assessment updated?

The Ireland threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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