Armed conflict and political violenceSevere
Sustained lethal conflict or armed violence is being reported.
Country risk assessment ยท Middle East
Jordan political and security risk assessment
Jordan carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 47 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), up 2 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
47of 100
Elevated
Band 3 of 5
▲ Up 2 on last week
Middle East
Jordan
What is the political and security risk in Jordan right now?
Jordan carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 47 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), up 2 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Up as the fallout from the Karak church attack widened: police arrested three suspects after a gunfight on Oct 26, and Jordanian airstrikes on Islamic State targets in southern Syria killed civilians and led Syria to close the main border crossing.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.8% in 2025 with inflation at 1.8%.
What are the main risks of operating in Jordan?
Staff movement and duty of careElevated
Foreign governments advise a high degree of caution, with some regional warnings.
Chokepoint exposure
Suez CanalEgypt's canal joining the Mediterranean and the Red SeaRead the explainer →What has changed recently in Jordan?
Jordan moved up 2 this week and rose 15 points over the last 12 weeks, from 32 to 47.
- Reporting of armed clashes and attacks up 11% week on week
- Protest and riot reporting up week on week
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that Jordan stays in the Elevated band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade routes for Jordan are exposed to the Suez Canal, so disruption there feeds straight into freight time and cost.
Operations continue but need active security planning in affected areas.
Key facts
GDPUS$61.6 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.8%Latest data, 2025
Inflation1.8%Latest data, 2025
Population11.5 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Jordan threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Jordan for business?
Jordan carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 47 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), up 2 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Jordan?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (severe); staff movement and duty of care (elevated). Sustained lethal conflict or armed violence is being reported.
What is the outlook for Jordan?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Jordan stays in the Elevated band through the end of December.
Which shipping chokepoints matter for Jordan?
Jordan is exposed to the Suez Canal. Egypt's canal joining the Mediterranean and the Red Sea.
How often is the Jordan risk assessment updated?
The Jordan threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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