Staff movement and duty of careSevere
Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.
Country risk assessment ยท Africa
Libya political and security risk assessment
Libya carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 59 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
59of 100
High
Band 4 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Africa
Libya
What is the political and security risk in Libya right now?
Libya carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 59 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 13.4% in 2025 with inflation at 1.8%.
What are the main risks of operating in Libya?
Protest and civil unrestHigh
Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
Armed conflict and political violenceElevated
Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
What has changed recently in Libya?
Libya moved down 1 this week and fell 7 points over the last 12 weeks, from 66 to 59.
- Reporting of armed clashes and attacks down 4% week on week
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Libya stays in the High band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 138% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operations need dedicated security support and contingency plans.
Key facts
GDPUS$48.1 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth13.4%Latest data, 2025
Inflation1.8%Latest data, 2025
Trade138% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population7.5 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Libya threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Libya for business?
Libya carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 59 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Libya?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (severe); protest and civil unrest (high); armed conflict and political violence (elevated). Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.
What is the outlook for Libya?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Libya stays in the High band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
How often is the Libya risk assessment updated?
The Libya threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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