Armed conflict and political violenceElevated
Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
Country risk assessment ยท Europe
Lithuania political and security risk assessment
Lithuania carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
20of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Europe
Lithuania
What is the political and security risk in Lithuania right now?
Lithuania carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Little changed at Low, with no standing risk flags.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.9% in 2025 with inflation at 3.8%.
What are the main risks of operating in Lithuania?
Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
What has changed recently in Lithuania?
Lithuania moved down 1 this week and fell 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 21 to 20.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Lithuania stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Guarded band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 142% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$95.2 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.9%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.8%Latest data, 2025
Trade142% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports14% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population2.9 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Lithuania threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Lithuania for business?
Lithuania carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Lithuania?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (elevated); protest and civil unrest (elevated). Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
What is the outlook for Lithuania?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Lithuania stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Guarded band.
How often is the Lithuania risk assessment updated?
The Lithuania threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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