Armed conflict and political violenceElevated
Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
Country risk assessment ยท Europe
Moldova political and security risk assessment
Moldova carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
28of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Europe
Moldova
What is the political and security risk in Moldova right now?
Moldova carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.4% in 2025 with inflation at 7.8%.
What are the main risks of operating in Moldova?
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
What has changed recently in Moldova?
Moldova moved unchanged this week and rose 8 points over the last 12 weeks, from 20 to 28.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Moldova stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Food makes up 59% of goods exports (2025 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.
Trade equals 93% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$20.4 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.4%Latest data, 2025
Inflation7.8%Latest data, 2025
Trade93% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Food exports59% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population2.4 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Moldova threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Moldova for business?
Moldova carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Moldova?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (elevated); staff movement and duty of care (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
What is the outlook for Moldova?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Moldova stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.
How often is the Moldova risk assessment updated?
The Moldova threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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