Country risk assessment ยท Europe

Montenegro political and security risk assessment

Montenegro carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 10 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

10of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Europe

Montenegro

What is the political and security risk in Montenegro right now?

Montenegro carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 10 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.7% in 2025 with inflation at 3.9%.

What are the main risks of operating in Montenegro?

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What has changed recently in Montenegro?

Montenegro moved unchanged this week and fell 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 11 to 10.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Montenegro stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Supply chain

Trade equals 106% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$9.2 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.9%Latest data, 2025
Trade106% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports24% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals15% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population623 thousandLatest data, 2025

How has the Montenegro threat score moved?

0510152025Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 11Aug 16: 10Aug 23: 9Aug 30: 10Sep 6: 10Sep 13: 10Sep 20: 11Sep 27: 11Oct 4: 11Oct 11: 11Oct 18: 10Oct 25: 1010

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Montenegro for business?

Montenegro carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 10 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Montenegro?

The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What is the outlook for Montenegro?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Montenegro stays in the Low band through the end of December.

How often is the Montenegro risk assessment updated?

The Montenegro threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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