Protest and civil unrestHigh
Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
Country risk assessment ยท Africa
Mozambique political and security risk assessment
Mozambique carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 50 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
50of 100
Elevated
Band 3 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Africa
Mozambique
What is the political and security risk in Mozambique right now?
Mozambique carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 50 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP contracted 0.5% in 2025 with inflation at 4.4%.
What are the main risks of operating in Mozambique?
Armed conflict and political violenceHigh
Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What has changed recently in Mozambique?
Mozambique moved down 1 this week and rose 16 points over the last 12 weeks, from 34 to 50.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Mozambique stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the High band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Fuels make up 54% of goods exports (2025 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.
Trade equals 97% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operations continue but need active security planning in affected areas.
Key facts
GDPUS$22.3 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth-0.5%Latest data, 2025
Inflation4.4%Latest data, 2025
Trade97% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports54% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals27% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population35.6 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Mozambique threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Mozambique for business?
Mozambique carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 50 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Mozambique?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (high); armed conflict and political violence (high); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
What is the outlook for Mozambique?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Mozambique stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the High band.
How often is the Mozambique risk assessment updated?
The Mozambique threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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