Country risk assessment ยท Middle East

N. Cyprus political and security risk assessment

N. Cyprus carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

14of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▲ Up 1 on last week

Middle East

N. Cyprus

What is the political and security risk in N. Cyprus right now?

N. Cyprus carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Little changed at Low, with no standing risk flags.

What are the main risks of operating in N. Cyprus?

Protest and civil unrestElevated

Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What has changed recently in N. Cyprus?

N. Cyprus moved up 1 this week and was flat over the last 12 weeks, from 14 to 14.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that N. Cyprus stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

How has the N. Cyprus threat score moved?

0510152025Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 14Aug 16: 13Aug 23: 14Aug 30: 13Sep 6: 14Sep 13: 13Sep 20: 13Sep 27: 12Oct 4: 13Oct 11: 13Oct 18: 13Oct 25: 1414

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in N. Cyprus for business?

N. Cyprus carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in N. Cyprus?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (elevated); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

What is the outlook for N. Cyprus?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that N. Cyprus stays in the Low band through the end of December.

How often is the N. Cyprus risk assessment updated?

The N. Cyprus threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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