Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Namibia political and security risk assessment

Namibia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 26 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

26of 100
Guarded

Band 2 of 5

▼ Down 1 on last week

Africa

Namibia

What is the political and security risk in Namibia right now?

Namibia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 26 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 1.7% in 2025 with inflation at 3.5%.

What are the main risks of operating in Namibia?

Armed conflict and political violenceElevated

Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.

Protest and civil unrestElevated

Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

Staff movement and duty of careGuarded

Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

What has changed recently in Namibia?

Namibia moved down 1 this week and rose 2 points over the last 12 weeks, from 24 to 26.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess there is a realistic possibility that Namibia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 2 points from the Low band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Commodities

Ores and metals make up 32% of goods exports (2024 data), so mining regions and export corridors are the exposure to watch.

Supply chain

Trade equals 109% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.

Key facts

GDPUS$15.1 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth1.7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.5%Latest data, 2025
Trade109% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals32% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Food exports28% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population3.1 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Namibia threat score moved?

10203040Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 24Aug 16: 23Aug 23: 24Aug 30: 24Sep 6: 24Sep 13: 24Sep 20: 30Sep 27: 30Oct 4: 29Oct 11: 28Oct 18: 27Oct 25: 2626

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Namibia for business?

Namibia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 26 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Namibia?

The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (elevated); protest and civil unrest (elevated); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.

What is the outlook for Namibia?

We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that Namibia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 2 points from the Low band.

How often is the Namibia risk assessment updated?

The Namibia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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