Country risk assessment ยท Europe

Netherlands political and security risk assessment

Netherlands carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

28of 100
Guarded

Band 2 of 5

▼ Down 1 on last week

Europe

Netherlands

What is the political and security risk in Netherlands right now?

Netherlands carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 1.8% in 2025 with inflation at 3.2%.

What are the main risks of operating in Netherlands?

Protest and civil unrestHigh

Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

Staff movement and duty of careGuarded

Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

What has changed recently in Netherlands?

Netherlands moved down 1 this week and fell 3 points over the last 12 weeks, from 31 to 28.

  • Protest and riot reporting down week on week

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is likely that Netherlands stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Supply chain

Trade equals 150% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.

Key facts

GDPUS$1.33 trillionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth1.8%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.2%Latest data, 2025
Trade150% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports11% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population18.1 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Netherlands threat score moved?

15202530354045Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 31Aug 16: 32Aug 23: 32Aug 30: 33Sep 6: 33Sep 13: 34Sep 20: 33Sep 27: 32Oct 4: 31Oct 11: 30Oct 18: 29Oct 25: 2828

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Netherlands for business?

Netherlands carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Netherlands?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (high); armed conflict and political violence (guarded); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

What is the outlook for Netherlands?

We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Netherlands stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.

How often is the Netherlands risk assessment updated?

The Netherlands threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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