Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
Country risk assessment ยท Europe
Norway political and security risk assessment
Norway carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
14of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Europe
Norway
What is the political and security risk in Norway right now?
Norway carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
Little changed at Low, with no standing risk flags.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 1.1% in 2025 with inflation at 3%.
What are the main risks of operating in Norway?
Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded
Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
What has changed recently in Norway?
Norway moved down 1 this week and fell 9 points over the last 12 weeks, from 23 to 14.
- Reporting of armed clashes and attacks down 8% week on week
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that Norway stays in the Low band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Fuels make up 62% of goods exports (2025 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.
Trade equals 79% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$530.8 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth1.1%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3%Latest data, 2025
Trade79% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports62% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population5.6 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Norway threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Norway for business?
Norway carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 14 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Norway?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
What is the outlook for Norway?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Norway stays in the Low band through the end of December.
How often is the Norway risk assessment updated?
The Norway threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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