Staff movement and duty of careHigh
Foreign governments advise against non essential travel to the country or large parts of it.
Country risk assessment ยท Middle East
Oman political and security risk assessment
Oman carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 37 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
37of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Middle East
Oman
What is the political and security risk in Oman right now?
Oman carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 37 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.4% in 2025 with inflation at 1%.
What are the main risks of operating in Oman?
Armed conflict and political violenceElevated
Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
Chokepoint exposure
Strait of HormuzThe Gulf's only sea exit, between Iran and OmanRead the explainer →What has changed recently in Oman?
Oman moved down 1 this week and rose 5 points over the last 12 weeks, from 32 to 37.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess there is a realistic possibility that Oman stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 3 points from the Elevated band.
40 to 55%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade routes for Oman are exposed to the Strait of Hormuz, so disruption there feeds straight into freight time and cost.
Fuels make up 72% of goods exports (2025 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.
Trade equals 115% of GDP (2024 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$109.6 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.4%Latest data, 2025
Inflation1%Latest data, 2025
Trade115% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Fuel exports72% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population5.5 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Oman threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Oman for business?
Oman carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 37 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Oman?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (high); armed conflict and political violence (elevated). Foreign governments advise against non essential travel to the country or large parts of it.
What is the outlook for Oman?
We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that Oman stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 3 points from the Elevated band.
Which shipping chokepoints matter for Oman?
Oman is exposed to the Strait of Hormuz. The Gulf's only sea exit, between Iran and Oman.
How often is the Oman risk assessment updated?
The Oman threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
Custom reports
Need a deeper read on Oman?
Zed Three builds custom threat and risk reports around your people, suppliers and routes.
Free weekday briefing
Get Chokepoint free
The five stories that move markets, supply chains and deals, each with the so what worked out. Five minutes, every weekday morning.