Country risk assessment ยท Middle East

Palestine political and security risk assessment

Palestine carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 61 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

61of 100
High

Band 4 of 5

▲ Up 1 on last week

Middle East

Palestine

What is the political and security risk in Palestine right now?

Palestine carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 61 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings and heavy reporting of armed violence.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 4.3% in 2025 with inflation at 9.8%.

What are the main risks of operating in Palestine?

Armed conflict and political violenceSevere

Sustained lethal conflict or armed violence is being reported.

Staff movement and duty of careHigh

Foreign governments advise against non essential travel to the country or large parts of it.

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What has changed recently in Palestine?

Palestine moved up 1 this week and fell 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 62 to 61.

  • Protest and riot reporting up week on week

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Palestine stays in the High band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Supply chain

Trade equals 75% of GDP (2025 data). Map tier one and tier two suppliers here and hold buffer stock for critical inputs.

Operations

Operations need dedicated security support and contingency plans.

Key facts

GDPUS$17.2 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth4.3%Latest data, 2025
Inflation9.8%Latest data, 2025
Trade75% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals14% of goods exportsLatest data, 2023
Food exports21% of goods exportsLatest data, 2023
Population5.4 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Palestine threat score moved?

505560657075Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 62Aug 16: 62Aug 23: 64Aug 30: 63Sep 6: 62Sep 13: 62Sep 20: 62Sep 27: 61Oct 4: 61Oct 11: 60Oct 18: 60Oct 25: 6161

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Palestine for business?

Palestine carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 61 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Palestine?

The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (severe); staff movement and duty of care (high); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Sustained lethal conflict or armed violence is being reported.

What is the outlook for Palestine?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Palestine stays in the High band through the end of December.

How often is the Palestine risk assessment updated?

The Palestine threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

Custom reports

Need a deeper read on Palestine?

Zed Three builds custom threat and risk reports around your people, suppliers and routes.

Free weekday briefing

Get Chokepoint free

The five stories that move markets, supply chains and deals, each with the so what worked out. Five minutes, every weekday morning.