Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Senegal political and security risk assessment

Senegal carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 19 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

19of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Africa

Senegal

What is the political and security risk in Senegal right now?

Senegal carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 19 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.

Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 6.7% in 2025 with inflation at 1.5%.

What are the main risks of operating in Senegal?

Protest and civil unrestHigh

Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What has changed recently in Senegal?

Senegal moved unchanged this week and fell 6 points over the last 12 weeks, from 25 to 19.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is likely that Senegal stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Guarded band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Energy

Fuels make up 33% of goods exports (2024 data), so security events can move energy supply and prices.

Supply chain

Trade equals 71% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$37.0 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth6.7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation1.5%Latest data, 2025
Trade71% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports33% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Food exports22% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population18.9 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Senegal threat score moved?

5152535Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 25Aug 16: 24Aug 23: 23Aug 30: 22Sep 6: 22Sep 13: 21Sep 20: 20Sep 27: 20Oct 4: 20Oct 11: 19Oct 18: 19Oct 25: 1919

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Senegal for business?

Senegal carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 19 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Senegal?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (high); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

What is the outlook for Senegal?

We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Senegal stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Guarded band.

How often is the Senegal risk assessment updated?

The Senegal threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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