Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Somaliland political and security risk assessment

Somaliland carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 62 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

62of 100
High

Band 4 of 5

▲ Up 1 on last week

Africa

Somaliland

What is the political and security risk in Somaliland right now?

Somaliland carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 62 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings and heavy reporting of armed violence.

What are the main risks of operating in Somaliland?

Staff movement and duty of careSevere

Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.

Armed conflict and political violenceSevere

Sustained lethal conflict or armed violence is being reported.

Protest and civil unrestHigh

Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

What has changed recently in Somaliland?

Somaliland moved up 1 this week and was flat over the last 12 weeks, from 62 to 62.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that Somaliland stays in the High band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Operations

Operations need dedicated security support and contingency plans.

How has the Somaliland threat score moved?

50607080Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 62Aug 16: 70Aug 23: 69Aug 30: 68Sep 6: 68Sep 13: 69Sep 20: 63Sep 27: 64Oct 4: 63Oct 11: 63Oct 18: 61Oct 25: 6262

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Somaliland for business?

Somaliland carries a high level of political and security risk for business. It scores 62 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 4 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Somaliland?

The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (severe); armed conflict and political violence (severe); protest and civil unrest (high). Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.

What is the outlook for Somaliland?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Somaliland stays in the High band through the end of December.

How often is the Somaliland risk assessment updated?

The Somaliland threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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