Armed conflict and political violenceElevated
Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
Country risk assessment ยท Europe
Sweden political and security risk assessment
Sweden carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 30 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
30of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Europe
Sweden
What is the political and security risk in Sweden right now?
Sweden carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 30 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 1.5% in 2025 with inflation at 0.7%.
What are the main risks of operating in Sweden?
Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What has changed recently in Sweden?
Sweden moved down 1 this week and fell 9 points over the last 12 weeks, from 39 to 30.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Sweden stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Low band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 104% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$669.0 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth1.5%Latest data, 2025
Inflation0.7%Latest data, 2025
Trade104% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population10.6 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Sweden threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Sweden for business?
Sweden carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 30 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Sweden?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (elevated); protest and civil unrest (elevated); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
What is the outlook for Sweden?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Sweden stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Low band.
How often is the Sweden risk assessment updated?
The Sweden threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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