Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Tanzania political and security risk assessment

Tanzania carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

20of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▲ Up 1 on last week

Africa

Tanzania

What is the political and security risk in Tanzania right now?

Tanzania carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 5.9% in 2025 with inflation at 3.3%.

What are the main risks of operating in Tanzania?

Protest and civil unrestElevated

Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

Staff movement and duty of careGuarded

Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

What has changed recently in Tanzania?

Tanzania moved up 1 this week and fell 2 points over the last 12 weeks, from 22 to 20.

  • Protest and riot reporting up week on week

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is likely that Tanzania stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Guarded band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Commodities

Food makes up 31% of goods exports (2025 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.

Supply chain

Trade equals 39% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

Key facts

GDPUS$90.1 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth5.9%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.3%Latest data, 2025
Trade39% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Food exports31% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population70.5 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Tanzania threat score moved?

5101520253035Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 22Aug 16: 21Aug 23: 20Aug 30: 20Sep 6: 21Sep 13: 20Sep 20: 20Sep 27: 20Oct 4: 20Oct 11: 19Oct 18: 19Oct 25: 2020

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Tanzania for business?

Tanzania carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 20 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), up 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Tanzania?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (elevated); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

What is the outlook for Tanzania?

We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Tanzania stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Guarded band.

How often is the Tanzania risk assessment updated?

The Tanzania threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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