Protest and civil unrestSevere
Protest and unrest activity is very high and can disrupt cities and transport.
Country risk assessment ยท Africa
Tunisia political and security risk assessment
Tunisia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
35of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Africa
Tunisia
What is the political and security risk in Tunisia right now?
Tunisia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings and persistent protest activity.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.5% in 2025 with inflation at 5.2%.
What are the main risks of operating in Tunisia?
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded
Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
What has changed recently in Tunisia?
Tunisia moved down 1 this week and rose 9 points over the last 12 weeks, from 26 to 35.
- Reporting of armed clashes and attacks down week on week
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Tunisia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 101% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$57.5 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.5%Latest data, 2025
Inflation5.2%Latest data, 2025
Trade101% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population12.3 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Tunisia threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Tunisia for business?
Tunisia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Tunisia?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (severe); staff movement and duty of care (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Protest and unrest activity is very high and can disrupt cities and transport.
What is the outlook for Tunisia?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Tunisia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
How often is the Tunisia risk assessment updated?
The Tunisia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
Custom reports
Need a deeper read on Tunisia?
Zed Three builds custom threat and risk reports around your people, suppliers and routes.
Free weekday briefing
Get Chokepoint free
The five stories that move markets, supply chains and deals, each with the so what worked out. Five minutes, every weekday morning.