Staff movement and duty of careSevere
Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.
Country risk assessment ยท Africa
Uganda political and security risk assessment
Uganda carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 45 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
45of 100
Elevated
Band 3 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Africa
Uganda
What is the political and security risk in Uganda right now?
Uganda carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 45 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 6.3% in 2025 with inflation at 3.6%.
What are the main risks of operating in Uganda?
Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded
Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
What has changed recently in Uganda?
Uganda moved unchanged this week and was flat over the last 12 weeks, from 45 to 45.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Uganda stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Guarded band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Food makes up 39% of goods exports (2024 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.
Trade equals 50% of GDP (2025 data). Map tier one and tier two suppliers here and hold buffer stock for critical inputs.
Operations continue but need active security planning in affected areas.
Key facts
GDPUS$62.0 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth6.3%Latest data, 2025
Inflation3.6%Latest data, 2025
Trade50% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Food exports39% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population51.4 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Uganda threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Uganda for business?
Uganda carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 45 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Uganda?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (severe); protest and civil unrest (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.
What is the outlook for Uganda?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Uganda stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Guarded band.
How often is the Uganda risk assessment updated?
The Uganda threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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