Country risk assessment ยท Africa

W. Sahara political and security risk assessment

W. Sahara carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 11 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

11of 100
Low

Band 1 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Africa

W. Sahara

What is the political and security risk in W. Sahara right now?

W. Sahara carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 11 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.

What are the main risks of operating in W. Sahara?

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What has changed recently in W. Sahara?

W. Sahara moved unchanged this week and fell 3 points over the last 12 weeks, from 14 to 11.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is highly likely that W. Sahara stays in the Low band through the end of December.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Operations

Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.

How has the W. Sahara threat score moved?

0510152025Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 14Aug 16: 13Aug 23: 12Aug 30: 12Sep 6: 11Sep 13: 11Sep 20: 11Sep 27: 10Oct 4: 10Oct 11: 10Oct 18: 11Oct 25: 1111

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in W. Sahara for business?

W. Sahara carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 11 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in W. Sahara?

The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

What is the outlook for W. Sahara?

We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that W. Sahara stays in the Low band through the end of December.

How often is the W. Sahara risk assessment updated?

The W. Sahara threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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