Armed conflict and political violenceHigh
Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
Country risk assessment ยท Africa
Zimbabwe political and security risk assessment
Zimbabwe carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 32 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
32of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Africa
Zimbabwe
What is the political and security risk in Zimbabwe right now?
Zimbabwe carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 32 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 8.1% in 2025 with inflation at 104.7%.
What are the main risks of operating in Zimbabwe?
Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What has changed recently in Zimbabwe?
Zimbabwe moved down 1 this week and rose 3 points over the last 12 weeks, from 29 to 32.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that Zimbabwe stays in the Guarded band through the end of December.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Ores and metals make up 34% of goods exports (2024 data), so mining regions and export corridors are the exposure to watch.
Trade equals 42% of GDP (2024 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$51.2 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth8.1%Latest data, 2025
Inflation104.7%Latest data, 2022
Trade42% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Ores and metals34% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Food exports22% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population17.0 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Zimbabwe threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Zimbabwe for business?
Zimbabwe carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 32 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Zimbabwe?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (high); protest and civil unrest (elevated); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
What is the outlook for Zimbabwe?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that Zimbabwe stays in the Guarded band through the end of December.
How often is the Zimbabwe risk assessment updated?
The Zimbabwe threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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