Shipping and chokepoints
How much of the world's oil goes through the Strait of Hormuz?
About 20% of global oil consumption and one fifth of LNG trade passed through Hormuz before the 2026 war. Who exports it, who buys it and how much is moving now.
Guide
Shipping and chokepointsLast updated
3 minute read
By Zed Three analysts
Short answer
About 20 million barrels a day, roughly 20% of world petroleum liquids consumption and more than a quarter of seaborne oil trade, moved through the Strait of Hormuz in 2024. Around one fifth of global LNG trade, mostly from Qatar, also passed through it.
Last updated
Who ships oil through Hormuz and who buys it?
Saudi Arabia is the largest exporter through the strait, followed by Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iran. More than 80% of the oil leaving through Hormuz goes to Asia, with China, India, Japan and South Korea the biggest buyers.
That concentration means Asian refiners feel a closure first, but prices move for every buyer because oil is priced globally.
How much is moving now?
Very little by pre-war standards. Industry estimates suggested Hormuz crude exports at about 11.1 million barrels a day in October, but only 7.3 million in the week to Oct 28, more than 40% below the pre-war level of about 16 million. Vessel counts are far lower still, with many tankers running dark or moving in shuttles.
Some Saudi crude can bypass the strait by pipeline to Red Sea ports, and the UAE can export from the Gulf of Oman, but those routes cannot replace the full flow.
Why the percentage matters for your business
A one fifth share of world supply has no quick substitute. IEA members agreed in March 2026 to release 400 million barrels of emergency stocks, the largest release ever, and about 330 million had been released by October. Brent settled at US$104.77 a barrel on Nov 2 after diplomacy hopes knocked it down 7.6% in a day.
For buyers of fuel, plastics, fertilizer and freight, Hormuz exposure is not limited to oil importers. It runs through every input priced off energy.
What happens next?
We assess it is likely that Hormuz shipping remains disrupted through the end of December.
We assess it is unlikely that a deal to reopen the strait is agreed by Nov 30.
Likelihood ranges are Zed Three editorial judgments as of Nov 2, 2026, not advice.
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Frequently asked questions
What percentage of LNG goes through the Strait of Hormuz?
Around one fifth of global LNG trade transited the strait in 2024, mostly Qatari cargoes.
Which country exports the most oil through Hormuz?
Saudi Arabia, which accounted for nearly 40% of the oil exports through the strait in 2024.
Can oil bypass the Strait of Hormuz?
Partly. Saudi Arabia's East West pipeline reaches the Red Sea and the UAE can load in the Gulf of Oman, but these routes carry only a fraction of normal Hormuz volumes.
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