Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded
Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
Country risk assessment ยท Americas
Bahamas political and security risk assessment
Bahamas carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 22 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
22of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Americas
Bahamas
What is the political and security risk in Bahamas right now?
Bahamas carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 22 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 3.4% in 2024 with inflation at 1.1%.
What are the main risks of operating in Bahamas?
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
What has changed recently in Bahamas?
Bahamas moved down 1 this week and rose 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 21 to 22.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess there is a realistic possibility that Bahamas stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 3 points from the Guarded band.
40 to 55%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Food makes up 52% of goods exports (2024 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.
Trade equals 79% of GDP (2024 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$15.8 billionLatest data, 2024
Real GDP growth3.4%Latest data, 2024
Inflation1.1%Latest data, 2025
Trade79% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Ores and metals16% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Food exports52% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population403 thousandLatest data, 2025
How has the Bahamas threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Bahamas for business?
Bahamas carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 22 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), down 1 on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Bahamas?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (guarded); staff movement and duty of care (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.
What is the outlook for Bahamas?
We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that Bahamas stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 3 points from the Guarded band.
How often is the Bahamas risk assessment updated?
The Bahamas threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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