Armed groupsHigh
The president launched a joint task force against rebel groups targeting pipelines.
Country risk assessment ยท Americas
Colombia political and security risk assessment
Colombia sits in the High band. The ELN remains the main threat, with drone attacks and car bomb threats, and the government has replaced peace talks with military task forces. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
64of 100
High
Band 4 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Americas
Colombia
What is the political and security risk in Colombia right now?
Colombia sits in the High band. The ELN remains the main threat, with drone attacks and car bomb threats, and the government has replaced peace talks with military task forces.
Election observers warn there is no comprehensive election security policy ahead of 2027 local elections.
What are the main risks of operating in Colombia?
Political violenceHigh
Electoral observers report persistent violence against political leaders.
Energy infrastructureHigh
Pipelines are a frequent target of attacks.
Chokepoint exposure
Panama CanalThe canal joining the Atlantic and the PacificRead the explainer →What has changed recently in Colombia?
Colombia's president launched a joint military task force to combat rebel groups attacking pipelines.
Electoral observers said Colombia lacks a security policy for elections.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is highly likely that ELN attacks on oil infrastructure continue within 3 months.
80 to 90%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Plan for pipeline outages in Arauca and Norte de Santander.
Use armored transport in conflict zones.
Bogota and Medellin operations are normal.
Key facts
GDPUS$457.4 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.6%Latest data, 2025
Inflation5.1%Latest data, 2025
Trade35% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports35% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Food exports25% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population53.4 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Colombia threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Colombia for business?
Colombia sits in the High band. The ELN remains the main threat, with drone attacks and car bomb threats, and the government has replaced peace talks with military task forces.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Colombia?
The main risk drivers are armed groups (high); political violence (high); energy infrastructure (high). The president launched a joint task force against rebel groups targeting pipelines.
What is the outlook for Colombia?
We assess it is highly likely (80 to 90%) that ELN attacks on oil infrastructure continue within 3 months.
Which shipping chokepoints matter for Colombia?
Colombia is exposed to the Panama Canal. The canal joining the Atlantic and the Pacific.
How often is the Colombia risk assessment updated?
The Colombia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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