Gang violenceSevere
An attack on an armored vehicle in Croix-des-Bouquets left four Salvadoran technicians missing.
Country risk assessment ยท Americas
Haiti political and security risk assessment
Haiti sits in the Severe band. Gangs control much of Port-au-Prince and nearby areas, and the UN backed Gang Suppression Force has about 2,000 personnel against an authorized 5,550. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
71of 100
Severe
Band 5 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Americas
Haiti
What is the political and security risk in Haiti right now?
Haiti sits in the Severe band. Gangs control much of Port-au-Prince and nearby areas, and the UN backed Gang Suppression Force has about 2,000 personnel against an authorized 5,550.
Gangs carried out their biggest attack yet on the new force on Oct 18.
What are the main risks of operating in Haiti?
GovernanceSevere
Elections have been repeatedly delayed by violence, UN officials told the Security Council.
LogisticsSevere
Road access in and out of the capital is controlled by gangs.
What has changed recently in Haiti?
Gangs targeted foreign troops in the biggest attack on the new force.
UN officials warned the Security Council that gang violence threatens long awaited elections.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is unlikely that the force reaches half of its authorized strength within 3 months.
15 to 30%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Commercial operations in Port-au-Prince are severely restricted.
Expect port and road disruption.
Staff movement requires specialist security support.
Key facts
GDPUS$32.1 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth-2.7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation28.6%Latest data, 2025
Trade16% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population11.9 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Haiti threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Haiti for business?
Haiti sits in the Severe band. Gangs control much of Port-au-Prince and nearby areas, and the UN backed Gang Suppression Force has about 2,000 personnel against an authorized 5,550.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Haiti?
The main risk drivers are gang violence (severe); governance (severe); logistics (severe). An attack on an armored vehicle in Croix-des-Bouquets left four Salvadoran technicians missing.
What is the outlook for Haiti?
We assess it is unlikely (15 to 30%) that the force reaches half of its authorized strength within 3 months.
How often is the Haiti risk assessment updated?
The Haiti threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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