Protest and civil unrestHigh
Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
Country risk assessment ยท Americas
Belize political and security risk assessment
Belize carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
35of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▲ Up 1 on last week
Americas
Belize
What is the political and security risk in Belize right now?
Belize carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.7% in 2025 with inflation at 1.1%.
What are the main risks of operating in Belize?
Armed conflict and political violenceHigh
Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What has changed recently in Belize?
Belize moved up 1 this week and rose 6 points over the last 12 weeks, from 29 to 35.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Belize stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Food makes up 95% of goods exports (2025 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.
Trade equals 109% of GDP (2024 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$3.3 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation1.1%Latest data, 2025
Trade109% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Food exports95% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population423 thousandLatest data, 2025
How has the Belize threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Belize for business?
Belize carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 35 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), up 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Belize?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (high); armed conflict and political violence (high); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
What is the outlook for Belize?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Belize stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 5 points from the Elevated band.
How often is the Belize risk assessment updated?
The Belize threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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