Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
Country risk assessment ยท Americas
Bolivia political and security risk assessment
Bolivia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 34 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
34of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Americas
Bolivia
What is the political and security risk in Bolivia right now?
Bolivia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 34 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP contracted 1.6% in 2025 with inflation at 19.5%.
What are the main risks of operating in Bolivia?
Armed conflict and political violenceElevated
Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
What has changed recently in Bolivia?
Bolivia moved down 1 this week and rose 7 points over the last 12 weeks, from 27 to 34.
- Reporting of armed clashes and attacks down week on week
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Bolivia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Elevated band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Ores and metals make up 47% of goods exports (2025 data), so mining regions and export corridors are the exposure to watch.
Trade equals 47% of GDP (2024 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$64.8 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth-1.6%Latest data, 2025
Inflation19.5%Latest data, 2025
Trade47% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Fuel exports12% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals47% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Food exports20% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population12.6 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Bolivia threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Bolivia for business?
Bolivia carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 34 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Bolivia?
The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (elevated); armed conflict and political violence (elevated); staff movement and duty of care (guarded). Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
What is the outlook for Bolivia?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Bolivia stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Elevated band.
How often is the Bolivia risk assessment updated?
The Bolivia threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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