Armed conflict and political violenceElevated
Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
Country risk assessment ยท Americas
Canada political and security risk assessment
Canada carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 19 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
19of 100
Low
Band 1 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Americas
Canada
What is the political and security risk in Canada right now?
Canada carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 19 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
Steady at Low, with no standing risk flags.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 1.7% in 2025 with inflation at 2.1%.
What are the main risks of operating in Canada?
Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
What has changed recently in Canada?
Canada moved unchanged this week and fell 7 points over the last 12 weeks, from 26 to 19.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Canada stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Guarded band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 64% of GDP (2025 data). Supply chain exposure is mainly to regional and global shocks rather than local events.
Operating conditions are normal. Standard security precautions apply.
Key facts
GDPUS$2.32 trillionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth1.7%Latest data, 2025
Inflation2.1%Latest data, 2025
Trade64% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Fuel exports27% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population41.7 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Canada threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Canada for business?
Canada carries a low level of political and security risk for business. It scores 19 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 1 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Canada?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (elevated); protest and civil unrest (elevated). Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.
What is the outlook for Canada?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Canada stays in the Low band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Guarded band.
How often is the Canada risk assessment updated?
The Canada threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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