Armed conflict and political violenceHigh
Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
Country risk assessment ยท Americas
United States of America political and security risk assessment
United States of America carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 40 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
40of 100
Elevated
Band 3 of 5
▬ Unchanged on last week
Americas
United States of America
What is the political and security risk in United States of America right now?
United States of America carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 40 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are heavy reporting of armed violence.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 2.2% in 2025 with inflation at 2.9%.
What are the main risks of operating in United States of America?
Protest and civil unrestHigh
Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.
What has changed recently in United States of America?
United States of America moved unchanged this week and rose 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 39 to 40.
- Reporting of armed clashes and attacks down 0% week on week
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess there is a realistic possibility that United States of America stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 1 point from the Guarded band.
40 to 55%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Trade equals 25% of GDP (2024 data). Map tier one and tier two suppliers here and hold buffer stock for critical inputs.
Operations continue but need active security planning in affected areas.
Key facts
GDPUS$30.77 trillionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth2.2%Latest data, 2025
Inflation2.9%Latest data, 2024
Trade25% of GDPLatest data, 2024
Fuel exports17% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population341.8 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the United States of America threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in United States of America for business?
United States of America carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 40 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in United States of America?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (high); protest and civil unrest (high). Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
What is the outlook for United States of America?
We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that United States of America stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 1 point from the Guarded band.
How often is the United States of America risk assessment updated?
The United States of America threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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