Country risk assessment ยท Americas

Honduras political and security risk assessment

Honduras carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 34 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

34of 100
Guarded

Band 2 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Americas

Honduras

What is the political and security risk in Honduras right now?

Honduras carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 34 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 3.8% in 2025 with inflation at 4.6%.

What are the main risks of operating in Honduras?

Staff movement and duty of careElevated

Foreign governments advise a high degree of caution, with some regional warnings.

Armed conflict and political violenceElevated

Armed violence is reported regularly in some areas.

Protest and civil unrestGuarded

Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.

What has changed recently in Honduras?

Honduras moved unchanged this week and rose 1 point over the last 12 weeks, from 33 to 34.

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is likely that Honduras stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Elevated band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Commodities

Food makes up 53% of goods exports (2024 data), so harvest, port and road disruption matter for buyers.

Supply chain

Trade equals 92% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.

Key facts

GDPUS$39.6 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth3.8%Latest data, 2025
Inflation4.6%Latest data, 2025
Trade92% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Food exports53% of goods exportsLatest data, 2024
Population11.0 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Honduras threat score moved?

202530354045Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 33Aug 16: 32Aug 23: 31Aug 30: 32Sep 6: 32Sep 13: 32Sep 20: 32Sep 27: 33Oct 4: 33Oct 11: 33Oct 18: 34Oct 25: 3434

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Honduras for business?

Honduras carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 34 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Honduras?

The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (elevated); armed conflict and political violence (elevated); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Foreign governments advise a high degree of caution, with some regional warnings.

What is the outlook for Honduras?

We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Honduras stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Elevated band.

How often is the Honduras risk assessment updated?

The Honduras threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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