Armed conflict and political violenceHigh
Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
Country risk assessment ยท Americas
Jamaica political and security risk assessment
Jamaica carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 30 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
30of 100
Guarded
Band 2 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Americas
Jamaica
What is the political and security risk in Jamaica right now?
Jamaica carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 30 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.
On the economic side, real GDP grew 0.1% in 2025 with inflation at 4%.
What are the main risks of operating in Jamaica?
Staff movement and duty of careGuarded
Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.
Protest and civil unrestGuarded
Protests occur but rarely disrupt operations.
What has changed recently in Jamaica?
Jamaica moved down 1 this week and rose 4 points over the last 12 weeks, from 26 to 30.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Jamaica stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Low band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Ores and metals make up 42% of goods exports (2025 data), so mining regions and export corridors are the exposure to watch.
Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.
Key facts
GDPUS$22.7 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth0.1%Latest data, 2025
Inflation4%Latest data, 2025
Fuel exports24% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Ores and metals42% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Food exports30% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population2.8 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Jamaica threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Jamaica for business?
Jamaica carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 30 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Jamaica?
The main risk drivers are armed conflict and political violence (high); staff movement and duty of care (guarded); protest and civil unrest (guarded). Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.
What is the outlook for Jamaica?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Jamaica stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the Low band.
How often is the Jamaica risk assessment updated?
The Jamaica threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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