Country risk assessment ยท Africa

Morocco political and security risk assessment

Morocco carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

28of 100
Guarded

Band 2 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Africa

Morocco

What is the political and security risk in Morocco right now?

Morocco carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings and persistent protest activity.

On the economic side, real GDP grew 4.6% in 2025 with inflation at 0.7%.

What are the main risks of operating in Morocco?

Protest and civil unrestHigh

Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

Staff movement and duty of careGuarded

Foreign governments advise normal to increased caution.

Armed conflict and political violenceGuarded

Armed violence is occasional and mostly localized.

Chokepoint exposure

Strait of GibraltarThe Mediterranean's western gate, between Spain and MoroccoRead the explainer →

What has changed recently in Morocco?

Morocco moved unchanged this week and fell 17 points over the last 12 weeks, from 45 to 28.

  • Protest and riot reporting up week on week
  • Reporting of armed clashes and attacks down week on week

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess it is likely that Morocco stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Shipping

Trade routes for Morocco are exposed to the Strait of Gibraltar, so disruption there feeds straight into freight time and cost.

Supply chain

Trade equals 93% of GDP (2025 data). A highly open economy, so local disruption travels quickly through supplier networks.

Operations

Operating conditions are generally normal, with localized risks to plan around.

Key facts

GDPUS$182.4 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth4.6%Latest data, 2025
Inflation0.7%Latest data, 2025
Trade93% of GDPLatest data, 2025
Population38.4 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the Morocco threat score moved?

1525354555Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 45Aug 16: 46Aug 23: 39Aug 30: 37Sep 6: 36Sep 13: 33Sep 20: 32Sep 27: 31Oct 4: 30Oct 11: 29Oct 18: 28Oct 25: 2828

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in Morocco for business?

Morocco carries a guarded level of political and security risk for business. It scores 28 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 2 of 5), unchanged on last week and falling over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Morocco?

The main risk drivers are protest and civil unrest (high); staff movement and duty of care (guarded); armed conflict and political violence (guarded). Protest activity is high and periodically disrupts business districts and roads.

What is the outlook for Morocco?

We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Morocco stays in the Guarded band through the end of December. It sits 4 points from the Low band.

Which shipping chokepoints matter for Morocco?

Morocco is exposed to the Strait of Gibraltar. The Mediterranean's western gate, between Spain and Morocco.

How often is the Morocco risk assessment updated?

The Morocco threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

Custom reports

Need a deeper read on Morocco?

Zed Three builds custom threat and risk reports around your people, suppliers and routes.

Free weekday briefing

Get Chokepoint free

The five stories that move markets, supply chains and deals, each with the so what worked out. Five minutes, every weekday morning.