Staff movement and duty of careSevere
Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.
Country risk assessment ยท Asia
Myanmar political and security risk assessment
Myanmar carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 75 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.
75of 100
Severe
Band 5 of 5
▼ Down 1 on last week
Asia
Myanmar
What is the political and security risk in Myanmar right now?
Myanmar carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 75 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
Week on week the picture is little changed. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings, sustained lethal conflict and heavy reporting of armed violence.
What are the main risks of operating in Myanmar?
Armed conflict and political violenceSevere
Sustained lethal conflict or armed violence is being reported.
Protest and civil unrestElevated
Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.
What has changed recently in Myanmar?
Myanmar moved down 1 this week and rose 19 points over the last 12 weeks, from 56 to 75.
What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months
We assess it is likely that Myanmar stays in the Severe band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the High band.
60 to 75%
0%50%100%
Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.
What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?
Only essential operations with specialist security support are advisable.
Key facts
GDPUS$81.7 billionLatest data, 2025
Real GDP growth-2%Latest data, 2025
Fuel exports21% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Food exports29% of goods exportsLatest data, 2025
Population54.9 millionLatest data, 2025
How has the Myanmar threat score moved?
Frequently asked questions
What is the political and security risk in Myanmar for business?
Myanmar carries a severe level of political and security risk for business. It scores 75 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 5 of 5), down 1 on last week and rising over the last 12 weeks.
What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in Myanmar?
The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (severe); armed conflict and political violence (severe); protest and civil unrest (elevated). Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.
What is the outlook for Myanmar?
We assess it is likely (60 to 75%) that Myanmar stays in the Severe band through the end of December. It sits 6 points from the High band.
How often is the Myanmar risk assessment updated?
The Myanmar threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.
Related country assessments
Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.
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