Country risk assessment ยท Asia

North Korea political and security risk assessment

North Korea carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 53 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks. Last updated Nov 2, 2026.

53of 100
Elevated

Band 3 of 5

▬ Unchanged on last week

Asia

North Korea

What is the political and security risk in North Korea right now?

North Korea carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 53 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

Week on week the picture is steady. The main standing risks are foreign government warnings.

What are the main risks of operating in North Korea?

Staff movement and duty of careSevere

Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.

Armed conflict and political violenceHigh

Frequent armed violence is reported in parts of the country.

Protest and civil unrestElevated

Protests are persistent but usually manageable with planning.

Sanctions and complianceElevated

New or active sanctions designations touch this country, raising compliance screening needs.

What has changed recently in North Korea?

North Korea moved unchanged this week and fell 3 points over the last 12 weeks, from 56 to 53.

  • New sanctions designations announced

What happens next? Outlook for the next 1 to 3 months

We assess there is a realistic possibility that North Korea stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 2 points from the High band.

0%50%100%

Likelihood ranges are editorial judgments, not advice.

What does it mean for shipping, supply chains and operations?

Compliance

Screen counterparties, vessels and cargo against current sanctions lists before transacting.

Operations

Operations continue but need active security planning in affected areas.

Key facts

Population26.6 millionLatest data, 2025

How has the North Korea threat score moved?

35455565Aug 9Aug 23Sep 6Sep 20Oct 4Oct 18Aug 9: 56Aug 16: 55Aug 23: 53Aug 30: 49Sep 6: 50Sep 13: 50Sep 20: 53Sep 27: 54Oct 4: 54Oct 11: 54Oct 18: 53Oct 25: 5353

Frequently asked questions

What is the political and security risk in North Korea for business?

North Korea carries an elevated level of political and security risk for business. It scores 53 out of 100 on the Zed Three World Threat Map (band 3 of 5), unchanged on last week and broadly stable over the last 12 weeks.

What are the main geopolitical risks of operating in North Korea?

The main risk drivers are staff movement and duty of care (severe); armed conflict and political violence (high); protest and civil unrest (elevated); sanctions and compliance (elevated). Foreign governments warn against all travel, the highest level of warning.

What is the outlook for North Korea?

We assess there is a realistic possibility (40 to 55%) that North Korea stays in the Elevated band through the end of December. It sits 2 points from the High band.

How often is the North Korea risk assessment updated?

The North Korea threat score is updated weekly on the Zed Three World Threat Map, and this assessment is reviewed monthly. It was last updated Nov 2, 2026.

Related country assessments

Published by Zed Three, a private, independent risk intelligence company. Assessment last updated Nov 2, 2026. Threat score updated weekly, last on Nov 2, 2026. General analysis for informational purposes, not security, legal or investment advice.

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